A long term demand forecasting framework for a network of airports / Uma estrutura de previsão de demanda de longo prazo para uma rede de aeroportos

Bachir Amadou, Mohammed Sbihi, Luis Gustavo Zelaya Cruz, Felix Mora-Camino

Abstract


The study presented in this paper has been developed with the perspective of generating long term development plans for a network of domestic airports. As a first step towards this objective, the problem of generating long term predictions of demand for a network of domestic airports is considered. This is a step towards the objective of producing long term capacity investments plans allowing to manage adequately a network of airports. Then the different demand flows at airports which are relevant to characterize the need for new airport facilities and upgardes in capacity, are analysed and compatibility constraints between these flows introduced. An appraisal is realized about the basic data necessary to perform these network demand forecasts. A sequential scheme is proposed to generate in a coherent way predictions of the different dimensioning networks and airport flows. Passenger, freight and aircraft flows from and to external airports are also considered in this study.


Keywords


Air Transport, Airport planning, Networks, Long term demand, Prediction.

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.34117/bjdv6n7-023

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